PREVIEW Italian Serie A Week 16 - Sixteenth Round Saturday, December 13 and Sunday, December 14 2008. Post your PREDICTIONS now

By Anna Italia

Hello my friend,

After the joy of seeing 3 Italian teams: AS Roma, FC Inter, andFC Juventus qualified to the last 16 of the UEFA ChampionsLeague, it is time for our PREVIEW of the Italian Soccer Serie A Week 16 - Sixteenth Round.    The only position not changing   for sure is the FIRST POSITION which belongs to FC Inter having 36 points, 6 points ahead of the second and third place. So, either Inter win, draw, or lose, they will still be the leaders of the Serie A Table.
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The real battle this week is between Juventus and AC Milan both racing for the Scudetto with 30 points each and hoping for Lecce  to beat Inter  . For goal differences, Juventus holds the second position having a positive +13 goal difference wile Milan has + 8.  Milan was in the second position but their defeat against Palermo brought them down to the third position.



Here is a brief PREVIEW of what might happen on the Italian Serie A Week 16- Sixteenth Round on Saturday, December 13 and Sunday, December 14, 2008.
 

                                                  

                                       FC Inter 1st Position with 36 points

               
                                                        
FC Juventus 2nd Position, 30 points        AC Milan 3rd position, 30 points

 
Relegation Zone includes Reggina (12 points), Bologna (11 points) and Chievo Verona 9 points.  

Here the other two teams risking the relegation zone are Lecce with 13 points and Torino with 12 points.  Torino even sacked Coach Gianni De Biasi  and hired former coach Walter Novellino to save "il Toro."

Problem guys is the face to face Bologna - Torino. Both need to win and I bet for Bologna, especially if forward Marco Di Vaio plays as he has scored 9 goals and is the third goal scorer only 3 goals away from the top scorer Genoa forward Diego Milito with 12 goals.

About the match Inter - Chievo, an appropriate statement will be "May God Protect Chievo." Imagine that Inter is the number one with 36 points while Chievo is the last team in the 20th position with only 9 goals. It will take a real miracle for Chievo to beat Inter at the Giuseppe Meazza Stadium or draw.

Last Round Results:

RESULTS  Italian Serie A Week 15 - Fifteenth Round Saturday, December 6 and Sunday, December 7, 2008


   Here are the possible scenarios to be in the FIRST, Second, and Third Position

 1. FC Inter 36
 2. Juventus 30
 3.  Milan 30
 4. Napoli 27
 5. Fiorentina 26
 6. Genoa 25
 7. Atalanta 23
 8. Lazio 23
 9. Catania 22
 10. Udinese 21
1  FC INTER can keep the first position win, lose, or draw against Lazio.

-  Inter might have lost two consecutive matches in the UEFA Champions League and losing on Tuesday too. Inter passed to the last 16 as second in Group B. Yet, in the Italian Serie A Table Inter is the sole leader with 36 points. 6 points ahead of Juventus and Milan.  Inter will play against Chievo the last team of the Serie A Table with only 9 points. Yet, either Inter win, draw, or lose... don't worry Inter fans because you will still be in the first position whether Juve or Milan win.

2. JUVENTUS - A. Juventus can Keep the second position if beating or drawing AC Milan. If winning will reach 33 points, drawing 31 points.  

B. If Juventus lose they will go down to the third position even if Napoli beat Lecce.  Why?  Napoli has 27 points and if beating JLecce will have 30 points like Juventus. Yet, goal differences are for Juventus.  Napoli has conceded 15 goals, scored 22 and goal difference of +7. Juve conceded only 10 goals, scored 23 and goal difference of +13  

11. Palermo 20
12. Cagliari 20
13. Roma 20
14. Siena 19
15. Sampdoria 16
16. Lecce 13
17. Torino 12
18. Reggina 12
19. Bologna 11
20. Chievo 9
3. AC Milan lost the second position after their defeat at the Renzo Barbera against Palermo.

A. Milan can recover the second position by defeating Juventus, period.  

B. Milan risk going down to the 4th position if losing this match and Napoli beat Lecce. Right now there is only 1 goal difference between Milan and Napoli.
Milan has the tendency to win matches by one goal, so Napoli might take advantage of their forwards Denis and Lavezzi to beat Lecce with more than 2 goals and take over the third position.
 

   
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Week 16 Italian Serie A Tim 2008 - 2009 / Sixteenth  Round Matchday 16

Saturday, December 13, 2008
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  • Bologna - Torino
    9:00 a.m. USA Pacific Time

    Napoli - Lecce
    11:30 a.m. USA Pacific Time

    Sunday December 14, 2008
    All matches start at 6:00 a.m. USA Pacific time

    Fiorentina - Catania
    Genoa - Atalanta
    FC Inter - Chievo
    Palermo - AC Siena
    Reggina - Sampdoria
    AS Roma - Cagliari
    Udinese - Lazio

    FC Juventus - AC Milan
    11:30 a.m. USA Pacific Time


    FC JUVENTUS - AC MILAN
    Olimpico di Torino Stadium
    2008 - 2009 Serie A Standing - FC Juventus 2nd position, 30 points
                                                       - AC Milan 3rd position, 30 points

    This is the match not to miss guys!   Wow, being Juventus and Milan tie with 30 points each, a victory is a must for any to keep the race for the scudetto alive against Inter which has a 6 points lead with 36 points. 

    This match is heartbreaking for me because I am a MILANISTA, but also am a DEL PIERISTA. and admire Saint Goalkeeper Gigi Buffon, thanks God Buffon is not playing!  So, my struggle is big, yet MILAN takes priority no matter what. 
     

     
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    Statiscally in this current season Juventus takes the lead over Milan.  Juve conceded only 10 goals, scored 23 and goal difference of +13 while Milan conceded 13 goals, scored 21 and goal difference +8.


    Oh my gosh, looking at the numbers from the 73 matches played in Torino, Juventus has won 33, draw 21 and Milan won only 19. A different story will be if playing in San Siro where Milan takes the lead.

    Matches

    Victories JUVENTUS

    Draws

     

    Victories
    MILAN

    Serie A in TORINO

    73

    33

    21

    19

    Serie A in  San Siro

    73

    17

    31

    25

    Coppa
    Italia

    19

    6

    6

    7

    Supercoppa
    Italiana

    1

    --

    1

    --

    Champions League 

    1

    --

    1

    --

    TOTALI

    167

    56

    60

    51

     
        
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    Disadvantage for Juventus: Absence of Saint goalkeeper Gigi Buffon for injury. Yet, let's face it guys, second goalkeeper Alexander Manninger has done a brilliant performance so far. 

    Other disadvantage is Captain Alessandro Del Piero barely recovering from a muscular problem on his right leg, so he might play only half time or be listed as subs as it happened on Tuesday in the Champions League match.  Forward Vincenzo Iaquinta has some neck pain and his condition will be evaluated. Midfielder Mauro Camoranesi still undergoing evaluations for his shoulder.

    Advantages for Juventus: Amauri and the personal challenge from midfielder Sebastian Giovinco who will want to prove himself after not a brilliant performance in the champions league... even missing the penalty. Defender Giorgio Chiellini one of the best central defenders. Midfielder Pavel Nedved being at his best right now.

    Disadvantage for Milan: The main disadvantage and a heavy one is the absence of midfielder Gennaro Gattuso not only for a match suspension but also because he has a knee injury and will be out for about 6 months!  Defender Daniele Bonera is out also after undergoing a hernia surgery today Thursday, December 11.

     Advantages for Milan: Inner motivation of the rossoneri to recover the lost points. Kaka and Ronaldinho finding their way to be more effective in the field. Defenders Kakha Kalaze and Gianluca Zambrotta. Seedorf might be playing as a midfielder instead of forward.  Andriy Shevchenko has scored six goals in total against Juventus in the league: five at San Siro and one at the Stadio Delle Alpi. Andriy has never scored or played against Juventus at the Stadio Olimpico in Turin. Since March 2004 Sheva has not scored in an away game against Juve.

    Head to head the battle between the oldest match "JUVENTUS - MILAN" started on April 28, 1901.... 
     the most rich of victories (Milan first in international trophies and Juventus second, Juventus first in the Italian scene and Milan second, Juventus with just one Golden Ball more than Milan): the only match that ever was an all-Italian final of the Champions League, on 28 May 2003 in Manchester, with Milan winning the trophy after Andriy Shevchenko converted his penalty kick in the shoot out final at Old Trafford..  Unlike the 2003 final, most likely Dida will not be the goalkeeper and Abbiati taking over and Buffon out for injury.

    A challenge for ex Jvuentus coach CARLO ANCELOTTI now leading AC Milan!!  Ancelotti as Rossoneri coach has won only once when the derby had been played at the Olimpico di Torino:  three defeats, two draws, and one victory. 

    Anna Italia Prediction:  AC MILAN

    AS ROMA - CAGLIARI
    Olimpico di Roma  Stadium

    2008 - 2009 Serie A Standing - AS Roma 13th position, 20 points
                                                       - Cagliari 12th position, 20 points

    Unbelievable guys, last season Roma was among the top 3 teams and today on a neck to neck race against Cagliari who was fighting for salvation last season around this period.

     
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    Roma has the advantage of playing at home and morale high after defeating Bordeaux at the Olimpico di Roma on Tuesday for the UEFA Champions League. Moreover, Roma qualified to the last 16 as leader of Group A.  Well, a total opposite aspect in the local league because Roma is even 1 position below Cagliari!!!!  

    Cagliari has conceded 17 goals, scored 16 and a negative goal difference of -1 while Roma has conceded 18 goals and scored 16 having a negative goal difference of -2. Can you believe it?  Roma even having worst defense than Cagliari with such big shots as Brazilian Juan and Philippe Mexes plus goalkeeper Doni.   True that Roma's poor condition was partly for so many injured players in the first matches, but it is also true that Cagliari has improved their game too.

    Advantage  for Roma is the recovery from Captain Totti and forward Jérémy Menez. Both are having a blast lately scoring or making asists. 

    Cagliari 1 - 0 Palermo traveling to Rome with their morale high, and I won't rule out a draw.

    Advantage for Cagliari is forward Jeda and goalkeeper Federico Marchetti.  Time for forward Robert Acquafresca to be consistent and he might find the motivation by blasting Roma goalkeeper Doni. 


    Anna Italia Prediction: AS ROMA.


    FC INTER - CHIEVO
    Giuseppe Meazza  Stadium
    2008 - 2009 Serie A Standing - FC Inter 1st position, 36 points
                                                       - Chievo 20th position, 9 points

    You might argue that the morale of Inter players might be down. Well, I doubt it.  True, Inter have lost two consecutive matches in the UEFA Champions League including the defeat this Tuesday too Werder Bremen 2 - 1 FC Internazionale, but you bet they are not willing to lose the match against Chievo and shorten the distance for Juventus and Milan.

    Inter passed to the last 16 of the Champions League as second in Group B. Yet, in the Italian Serie A Table Inter is the sole leader with 36 points. 6 points ahead of Juventus and Milan.  Inter will play against Chievo the last team of the Serie A Table with only 9 points. Yet, either Inter win, draw, or lose... don't worry Inter fans because you will still be in the first position whether Juve or Milan win.


    Last week, Inter got an important victory in an away match: Lazio 0 - 3 FC Inter
    Fans will not forgive Mourinho to lose against Chievo at home!

    Mourinho might use a turnover and rest some key players like Zlatan Ibrahimovic. Although midfielder Sulley Muntari thinks Inter is "omnipotente," I won't rule out any upset. Underestimating an opponent and thinking that one is "unbeatable" might be the worst way to confront a so-called minor team like Chievo. 

    Advantage for Mourinho not having any disqualified players while Chievo has 2 disqualified and 5 cautioned players!!!  Too bad Materazzi is out for this match after his cheekbone surgery on Wednesday, December 10.

    Inter players cautioned: Maicon, Ricardo Quaresma, Dejan Stankovic.

    Chievo suspended players :
    Mandelli and Pinzi, Cautioned:  Bentivoglio, Esposito, Italiano, Antonio Langella, Marcolini.

    Anna Italia Prediction: FC INTER


    NAPOLI - LECCE
    San Paolo Stadium
    2008 - 2009 Serie A Standing - Napoli 4th psotion, 27 points
                                                       - Lecce 16th position, 13 points

    Napoli has the chance to reach the third position if Juventus beat AC Milan.  Napoli will need to beat Lecce by more than 1 goal since there is only 1 goal difference right now between Milan and Napoli.  Milan has a goal difference of +8 while Napoli a goal difference of +7. 

    If Napoli beat Lecce and Milan lose the race for the Scudetto for Napoli once again will be a reality.  The upset will be for Lecce to get a draw or win at the San Paolo Stadium.  Coach Mario Beretta must start winning matches or he might even be sacked because Lecce is only 2 points away from the relegation zone.  It is a win or win for Lecce.

    Anna Italia Prediction: DRAW


    FIORENTINA - CATANIA
    Artemio Franchi Stadium
    2008 - 2009 Serie A Standing - Fiorentina 5th position, 26 points
                                                       - Catania 9th position, 22 points

    Fiorentina now can concentrate on the Italian Serie A after being eliminated from the 2008 - 2009 UEFA Champions League.   Motivation for Fiorentina is their victory against Steaua and the consistent performance from forward Alberto Gilardino.

    Catania will travel to Florence with the target to cause the upset and bring home the 3 points.  Giuseppe Mascara will be the man to watch.

    Anna Italia Prediction: DRAW

    GENOA - ATALANTA
    Luigi Ferraris Stadium
    2008 - 2009 Serie A Standing - Genoa 6th position 25 points
                                                       - Atalanta 7th position, 23 points

    Genoa forward Diego Milito currently the top scorer with 12 goals.

    Anna Italia Prediction: GENOA

    PALERMO - AC SIENA
    Renzo Barbera Stadium
    2008 - 2009 Serie A Standing - Palermo 11th position, 20 points
                                                       - AC Siena 14th position, 19 points

    Just one point difference !!! Problem for Palermo is the absence of forward Fabrizio Miccoli for 2 matches suspension. Responsibility will be for forward Edison Cavani.

    Anna Italia Prediction: PALERMO

    UDINESE - LAZIO
    Friuli Stadium

    2008 - 2009 Serie A Standing - Udinese 10th position, 21 points
                                                       -  Lazio 8th position, 23 points
    Both teaams lost their last week week matches by a goleada!

    Atalanta 3 - 0 Udinese and Lazio 0 - 3 FC Inter

    Udinese's chance to wake up and smell the coffee is now or never.  Losing again at home will be a total "alarming signal." Lazio is a tough team and forwards Mauro Zarate and Tommaso Rocchi willing to show they can beat the Udinese tridente: Antonio Di Natale, Fabio Quagliarella and Pepe.

    Challenge is for Udinese and Lazio to close their last week defeat and get a victory, a draw will not be enough.  Actually, a draw will be like a defeat for Udinese.

    Anna Italia Prediction:  Udinese

    BOLOGNA - TORINO 
    Renato Dall'Ara Stadium
    2008 - 2009 Serie A Standing - Bologna 19th position, 11 points
                                                       - Torino 17th position,  12 points

    This is the match for the Salvation....  the debut for re-hired Torino coach Walter Novellino after the sacking of Gianni De Biasi. 

    Bologna has won only 2 matches!  Torino winning only 3 matches... gee... It sounds more like "a crying battle for help."

    Anna Italia Prediction:  BOLOGNA

    REGGINA - SAMPDORIA
    Oreste Granillo Stadium
    2008 - 2009 Serie A Standing - Reggina 18th position, 12 points
                                                       - Sampdoria 15th position, 16 points

    Anna Italia Prediction: REGGINA



    What are your PREDICTIONS? Are you expecting a major upset? POST your predictions now


      Your Predictions???

    Bologna - Torino
    Napoli - Lecce
    Fiorentina - Catania
    Genoa - Atalanta
    FC Inter - Chievo
    Palermo - AC Siena
    Reggina - Sampdoria
    AS Roma - Cagliari
    Udinese - Lazio
    FC Juventus - AC Milan
              My Predictions.

    Bologna - Torino = BOLOGNA  
    Napoli - Lecce = NAPOLI
    Fiorentina - Catania = DRAW
    Genoa - Atalanta = GENOA
    FC Inter - Chievo = INTER
    Palermo - AC Siena = PALERMO 
    Reggina - Sampdoria = DRAW
    AS Roma - Cagliari = ROMA
    Udinese - Lazio  = UDINESE
    FC Juventus - AC Milan = MILAN


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